Skip to content
Environment, Science

Coral disease tripled in the last 25 years. Three-quarters will likely be diseased by next century

UNSW Sydney 3 mins read
Photo: Man Lim Ho.

Research suggests warming temperatures will see nearly 80 per cent of coral in reefs diseased in the next 80 years.

Deadly coral disease is spreading as global temperatures warm, and it’s likely to become endemic to reefs the world over by the next century, according to new research.

The study, published today in Ecology Letters, shows the extent coral health will suffer from climate change, which threatens to wipe out entire reef habitats and devastate coastal communities.

For the meta-analysis, researchers from UNSW Sydney analysed 108 studies of coral health where coral reefs were surveyed for disease symptoms. They then linked the disease surveys to ocean sea surface temperature records to understand how climate change – specifically ocean warming – has influenced coral disease prevalence worldwide and performed modelling to forecast disease under future warming scenarios.

They found coral disease increased with ocean temperatures over time, tripling over the past 25 years to 9.92 per cent globally. Their modelling also predicts disease prevalence can increase to 76.8 per cent in 2100 if temperatures continue to rise on the same trajectory – the most conservative worst-case scenario.

Samantha Burke, lead author of the study and a PhD candidate at the School of Biological, Earth & Environmental Sciences, says the findings highlight the devastating impacts of rising temperatures on coral reefs and the dire need for swift action to mitigate climate change.

“Coral disease is a serious cause of coral mortality globally and reef decline, and our modelling predicts it will only continue to worsen – even if ocean temperatures remain conservative,” Ms Burke says.

The study also suggests coral disease is likely to worsen more in the Pacific Ocean than in the Atlantic Ocean or Indian Ocean based on current data. 

“Particular oceans are more at risk, but it’s difficult for us to know whether that is solely from warming ocean temperatures or combined with the many other stressors coral face,” Ms Burke says. “But what is clear is that coral disease prevalence is climbing across the globe, and without urgent action to address warming temperatures, more coral will become diseased.”

An ecosystem on the brink

Coral reefs play a critical role in the marine ecosystem, supporting around a quarter of the world’s fish. They’re also vital for coastal communities who rely on the reef for fisheries and tourism, as well as the protections they provide from storms and coastal erosion.

“They are the habitat builders. Without coral, there is no reef environment and no coastal industry,” Ms Burke says.

Coral disease occurs when the coral’s immune system is compromised, usually after becoming infected by a pathogen – like bacteria or fungi – that causes disease in the animal. It is different from coral bleaching, which is when corals turn white under stress by expelling the zooxanthellae algae that live inside their tissue responsible for colouration.

“Certain diseases act more quickly than others, but most corals that get diseased end up dying from it,” Ms Burke says. “Because reefs take a long time to establish, the coral may not recover, and entire sections of the reef can be lost.”

Corals are sensitive organisms and require a precise range of environmental conditions to survive, including water temperature, salinity, and quality. Living outside this normal range can make corals ‘stressed’ – less able to grow, reproduce and ultimately survive.

Though infectious pathogens like bacteria and fungi ultimately cause coral disease, stressed corals are more vulnerable to infection. Rising water temperatures may also increase the virulence or growth rate of disease-causing organisms.

“As the ocean warms, it increases coral stress which can decrease its immune response,” Ms Burke says. “Increasing temperatures can also create more favourable conditions for the pathogen causing disease.”

Many diseases that affect corals are known by their appearance, such as black band disease or yellow band disease. But scientists have yet to identify many of the disease-causing pathogens.

“It’s still relatively unknown whether the microbes associated with diseased coral are the cause or a symptom of disease, just that the coral is sick, and the tissue is dying,” Ms Burke says. “Whether the fungi or bacteria present caused disease or merely fed on the dying tissue is unclear, so researchers need to study it further.”

Ms Burke says more research into coral disease will also help scientists develop effective disease interventions and demonstrate the complexity of threats that coral reef ecosystems are now facing.

“The solution to coral disease is likely complex and needs action on a large and small scale. We can’t just wait around and hope for a silver bullet like a universal antibiotic,” Ms Burke says. 

“Given what’s at stake, we need to take many steps forward to develop effective mitigation strategies, and addressing increasing temperatures would be a great place to start.”


Contact details:

Ben Knight
UNSW Media & Content
(02) 9065 4915
b.knight@unsw.edu.au

Media

More from this category

  • Science
  • 23/05/2024
  • 16:32
Galderma

Galderma Launches Restylane® VOLYME(TM) in China – One of the World’s Fastest Growing Aesthetics Markets

Restylane® VOLYME™ is designed for contouring and volumization of the mid-face region to support patients in achieving a youthful, revitalized look The complementary Shape…

  • Contains:
  • National News Current Affairs, Science
  • 23/05/2024
  • 13:03
UNSW Sydney

Goulbourn Earthquake: Expert available for comment

UNSW Sydney Associate Professor Stuart Clarkis a geophysicist from the School of Civil and Environmental Engineering and an expert in the physics of the Earth and plate tectonics. He is available to comment on the likely causes of the Goulbourn earthquake and its impacts. He can be contacted on 0468 332 796 or stuart.clark@unsw.edu.au

  • Energy, Environment
  • 23/05/2024
  • 09:22
Climate Council

Climate Failure: Eraring Power Station to Stay Open Beyond 2025

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE DATE 23 MAY 2024 The Climate Council has labelled the NSW Government’s decision to keep Australia’s largest coal-fired power station operating well past its scheduled 2025 closure date as a failure of climate leadership. Climate Councillor and Economist Nicki Hutley said: “This decision is a triple failure: it fails policy, it fails climate leadership, and it fails to protect the health and wellbeing of communities across NSW and the nation. As NSW residents endure worsening climate impacts – like the Black Summer bushfires and last year's Great Deluge – driven by climate pollution, the state and federal…

Media Outreach made fast, easy, simple.

Feature your press release on Medianet's News Hub every time you distribute with Medianet. Pay per release or save with a subscription.