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New Greenpeace report finds G20 failing to bridge the 1.5°C ambition gap in 2035 NDCs

Greenpeace Australia Pacific 2 mins read

BELÉM, BRAZIL, Monday 17 November 2025 — Ten years after the Paris Agreement, Greenpeace International has launched a new report at COP30, revealing the insufficient climate ambition in the 2035 NDCs of the G20 countries.

The report, 2035 Climate Ambition Gap, was released at the UN climate change conference in Belém as part of Greenpeace’s call for governments, including Australia, to agree on a Global Response Plan to ensure the 1.5°C limit remains in reach.

Australia’s new 2035 NDC submitted in September is not aligned with what the science says is needed to limit warming to 1.5°C — the limit agreed by countries under the landmark Paris Agreement 10 years ago.

Tracy Carty, Climate Politics Expert, Greenpeace International, said: “When the G20 countries - responsible for 80% of global emissions - deliver collective ambition that falls dangerously short, the world has a problem. With 85% of the global economy behind them, the G20’s decisions shape trade, investment and technology worldwide. Their choices will make or break the 1.5°C goal, but their plans amount to just a 23-29% cut in emissions towards the 60% reduction globally that is needed.”

“Given their historic responsibility for emissions and greater capacity to act, developed G20 countries should be out front, cutting emissions far in excess of the 60% global average needed. But taken together, G20 developed country NDCs amount to only a 51% - 57% cut from 2019 levels - a striking failure to lead from those expected to drive global ambition.” 

The Greenpeace analysis also assessed the energy related content of G20 NDCs and found that none of them have credible plans to phase out the fuels driving the climate crisis.

Australia is one of the world’s top fossil fuel exporters, yet its 2035 NDCs fails to include a plan or a timeline to phase them out. 

Jasper Inventor, Deputy Programme Director, Greenpeace International, said: “At this COP we are fighting for a Global Response Plan to bridge the 1.5°C ambition gap. That must include a roadmap to phase out fossil fuels and include an action plan to end deforestation. We’ve seen progress in week one, but we need an outcome that leads to change and not just another roadmap to nowhere.”

“We must ensure COP30 leads to urgent action to phase out fossil fuels and fast-track renewables. But it must also yield progress for crucially needed climate finance, including steps towards making polluters pay for climate damages and a just transition. COP30 must deliver an outcome that accelerates real action.”

-ENDS-

Download the report The 2035 Climate Ambition Gap

Photos are available from the Greenpeace Media Library

 

For more information or interviews contact Kate O’Callaghan on +61 406 231 892 or [email protected]

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