Skip to content
National News Current Affairs, Political

Labor ahead in Dunkley, Stage 3 changes a winner with voters

The Australia Institute 2 mins read

Media release | Embargoed until 12.01am Friday, 9 February 2024

Labor leads the Liberal Party 52% to 48% in the Dunkley two-party preferred vote ahead of the crucial March 2 byelection, according to new research from the Australia Institute.

The Australia Institute commissioned uComms to conduct a survey of 626 residents across the Federal Seat of Dunkley during the evenings of 5th and 6th February 2024 using self-completed automated voice and SMS polling methodologies. The margin of error is +/- 3.90%

Two-thirds of Dunkley voters back Labor’s Stage 3 tax changes, with almost one-third of taxpayers in the electorate set to now get a tax cut, having been left out under the Morrison-era plan.

Key Findings:

  • On two party-preferred terms, Labor leads the Liberal Party 52% to 48% after preferences

  • Labor candidate Jodie Belya is ahead with a primary vote of 40%, ahead of Liberal candidate Nathan Conroy on 39%

  • Two-thirds (66 per cent) per cent back the changes to Stage 3, while only 28 per cent are opposed

  • More than a quarter (29 per cent) of Liberal voters also support restructuring the tax cuts

  • An extra 24,691 people (30 per cent of taxpayers) in Dunkley will now receive a tax cut after the changes to Stage 3

  • The tax changes have the support of the bulk of Labor (95 per cent), Greens (93 per cent) and independent voters (72 per cent)

  • Nine in 10 Dunkley residents (91%) agree that truth in political advertising laws should be in place before the next election, compared to one in 20 (5%) who disagree.

“Labor’s changes to Stage 3 are not only economically sensible, they’re also popular with people in Dunkley,” said Greg Jericho, Chief Economist at the Australia Institute.

 “These results show two in three voters support restructuring the Stage 3 cuts in favour of lower income earners, across voting intentions and age groups.

“The Australia Institute’s research shows that under the changes to Stage 3, 30 per cent of taxpayers in Dunkley who were left out of Scott Morrison’s Stage 3 plans will now receive a tax cut.

“Close to 25,000 people in Dunkley will now receive additional money in their pockets.

“Reforming the tax cuts was the right thing to do politically, economically and socially – not just in Dunkley but for all Australians.

“Our research also shows that an overwhelming 9 in 10 voters in Dunkley want truth in political advertising laws in place before the next federal election.  

“Voters should go to the polls armed with the facts. In Australia, it is perfectly legal to lie in a political ad – and it shouldn’t be.

“It is time for federal parliament to draw a line under the divisive, misleading claims that have marred recent elections and pass truth in advertising legislation.”

The Australia Institute is a member of the Australian Polling Council. The polling methodology, long disclosure statement and margin of error for polling questions are included in the appendix of the report.

Media enquiries:
Luciana Lawe Davies
0457 974 636

Media

More from this category

  • Education Training, Political
  • 23/02/2024
  • 07:31
NSW Teachers Federation

School funding inequity laid bare by new report

A new report reveals the stark funding gap between private and public schools, with one Sydney private school, Cranbrook, spending more on a new pool and expanded fitness and drama facilities in 2021 ($63.5 million) than governments spent on 2,549 public schools which educate over 472,000 students. The report is being released as state and federal education ministers meet today. For NSW schools it also finds: A 30% growth in demountables between 2011 and 2022 to over 5,000. No ongoing capital funding from the Commonwealth despite calls from the NSW Government (NSW submission to NSRA review). The Commonwealth capital grants…

  • Political
  • 23/02/2024
  • 06:07
Homelessness Australia

Peak housing bodies and unions urge end to funding uncertainty

Leading homelessness advocates and unions have united in a joint push for state and federal housing ministers to plug a $73 million funding black hole that threatens to worsen the homelessness crisis by jeopardising the future of 700 critical support jobs, as ministers meet today.Homelessness services are overwhelmed by surging demand as the nation faces its worst housing crisis in living memory.Each day homelessness services are forced to turn away 295 people due to a lack of resources. New analysis of the most recent Australian Institute of Health and Welfare data reveals the number of children sleeping rough, even afterseeking…

  • Contains:
  • Political, Property Real Estate
  • 22/02/2024
  • 07:54
Community Housing Industry Association

Affordable Housing Summit – solutions to the housing crisis

Key figures in the housing, property, and finance sectors will come together to tackle the country’s pressing housing challenges at the ninth Affordable Housing Development & Investment Summit, hosted in Naarm/Melbourne from February 26-28, 2024. Organised by the Community Housing Industry Association (CHIA), the event provides a platform to share innovative solutions and strategies in social and affordable housing design, investment, place making, and tenancy/asset management. Among thekeynote speakers at the conferenceare CBUS Chair and former Australian Treasurer, Wayne Swan, Housing Australia CEO Nathan Del Bon, CFMEU National Secretary Zach Smith, and international housing expert Alexandra Notay. A range of…

Media Outreach made fast, easy, simple.

Feature your press release on Medianet's News Hub every time you distribute with Medianet. Pay per release or save with a subscription.