Skip to content
National News Current Affairs, Political

Labor ahead in Dunkley, Stage 3 changes a winner with voters

The Australia Institute 2 mins read

Media release | Embargoed until 12.01am Friday, 9 February 2024

Labor leads the Liberal Party 52% to 48% in the Dunkley two-party preferred vote ahead of the crucial March 2 byelection, according to new research from the Australia Institute.

The Australia Institute commissioned uComms to conduct a survey of 626 residents across the Federal Seat of Dunkley during the evenings of 5th and 6th February 2024 using self-completed automated voice and SMS polling methodologies. The margin of error is +/- 3.90%

Two-thirds of Dunkley voters back Labor’s Stage 3 tax changes, with almost one-third of taxpayers in the electorate set to now get a tax cut, having been left out under the Morrison-era plan.

Key Findings:

  • On two party-preferred terms, Labor leads the Liberal Party 52% to 48% after preferences

  • Labor candidate Jodie Belya is ahead with a primary vote of 40%, ahead of Liberal candidate Nathan Conroy on 39%

  • Two-thirds (66 per cent) per cent back the changes to Stage 3, while only 28 per cent are opposed

  • More than a quarter (29 per cent) of Liberal voters also support restructuring the tax cuts

  • An extra 24,691 people (30 per cent of taxpayers) in Dunkley will now receive a tax cut after the changes to Stage 3

  • The tax changes have the support of the bulk of Labor (95 per cent), Greens (93 per cent) and independent voters (72 per cent)

  • Nine in 10 Dunkley residents (91%) agree that truth in political advertising laws should be in place before the next election, compared to one in 20 (5%) who disagree.

“Labor’s changes to Stage 3 are not only economically sensible, they’re also popular with people in Dunkley,” said Greg Jericho, Chief Economist at the Australia Institute.

 “These results show two in three voters support restructuring the Stage 3 cuts in favour of lower income earners, across voting intentions and age groups.

“The Australia Institute’s research shows that under the changes to Stage 3, 30 per cent of taxpayers in Dunkley who were left out of Scott Morrison’s Stage 3 plans will now receive a tax cut.

“Close to 25,000 people in Dunkley will now receive additional money in their pockets.

“Reforming the tax cuts was the right thing to do politically, economically and socially – not just in Dunkley but for all Australians.

“Our research also shows that an overwhelming 9 in 10 voters in Dunkley want truth in political advertising laws in place before the next federal election.  

“Voters should go to the polls armed with the facts. In Australia, it is perfectly legal to lie in a political ad – and it shouldn’t be.

“It is time for federal parliament to draw a line under the divisive, misleading claims that have marred recent elections and pass truth in advertising legislation.”

The Australia Institute is a member of the Australian Polling Council. The polling methodology, long disclosure statement and margin of error for polling questions are included in the appendix of the report.

Media enquiries:
Luciana Lawe Davies
0457 974 636

Media

More from this category

  • Political
  • 10/02/2025
  • 14:06
Health Services Union

Young Pathology Workers to Strike Over Cootamundra Lab Closure Decision

Pathology workers at Young Hospital will stage a full-day stop work action on February 26, 2025, in response to the NSW Government's decision to close theCootamundra Pathology Lab.All staff members at the Young Pathology Lab are expected to participate in the industrial action, marking an escalation in the ongoing dispute over pathology services in the Murrumbidgee region."This is not a decision our members have taken lightly," said HSU Secretary Gerard Hayes. "But the closure of Cootamundra's pathology lab will create a devastating ripple effect across our regional healthcare system. The disruption from our one-day action pales in comparison to the…

  • Finance Investment, Political
  • 10/02/2025
  • 07:30
Super Members Council

Payday super laws urgently needed to stem $1.3 billion a year in unpaid super losses for Victorian workers

More than one in four Victorian workers have been underpaid their super - missing out on a total of $1.3 billion in a year, new research shows. Victorians accounted for a quarter of Australia’s unpaid super, but an Australian Government pledge to pay super on payday from 1 July 2026 is the key to dramatically stem those losses. Super Members Council analysis of tax file data shows more than 755,000 Victorian workers were short-changed an average of $1,740 each in 2021-22. Over five years, Victorian workers lost almost $6 billion – highlighting payday super laws need to start urgently. Unpaid…

  • Contains:
  • General News, Political
  • 10/02/2025
  • 06:00
Tide Communications

Youth-Led Campaign to Introduce New Bill in Parliament to Prioritise & Protect Future Generations

Canberra, 10 February 2025 – Independent MP Dr. Sophie Scamps will introduce the Wellbeing of Future Generations Bill to Parliament this morning, mandating that government decisions consider the long-term interests of current and future Australians. Driven by youth-led non-for-profit, Foundations for Tomorrow volunteer team, who have united voices nationwide through the For Our Future Campaign. The Bill is also backed by the Intergenerational Fairness Coalition, reflecting broad support for future-focused governance. Seconded by Mrs Bridget Archer MP, the Bill will propose four key measures: 1) Introduce a Federal Legislative Framework for thewellbeing of future generations; 2) Establishing a Positive Duty…

Media Outreach made fast, easy, simple.

Feature your press release on Medianet's News Hub every time you distribute with Medianet. Pay per release or save with a subscription.